Match Info

Asian Cup - Qualification - Third round - Round 3

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday


	Lebanon		Bhutan

	1	X	2
	1.02	21	51
	1.01	19	100
	1.01	13	18
	1.01	17.68	37.52	Watch
	1.02	16.9	41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 ↓ (1.05)	17.52 ↑ (12.87)	49.5 ↑ (28.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lebanon
92.7%

Draw
5.4%

Bhutan
1.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

89.4%

7.3%

3.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lebanon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Bhutan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Lebanon - Bhutan Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Lebanon will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Bhutan will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Bhutan (14.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 - Lebanon (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lebanon will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lebanon (votes: 4 - 80%). Bhutan (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Matar M. (G) Safa 6. Al Zein H. Safa 17. Chakroun H. Hannover 7. Darwiche K. Duhok 10. Haidar M. (C) Al Ahed 22. Kassas A. Nejmeh SC 3. Khamis K. Safa 13. Kheir El Dine A. Al Ansar 20. Merheg S. J. Dep. Pereira 4. Safwan M. Nejmeh SC 16. Shour W. Jwayya SC	21. Dorji J. 6. Dorji J. S. 2. Gyeltshen Y. RTC 17. Jigme K. RTC 16. Namgyel T. Paro 4. Norbu T. Thimphu City 14. Tshering D. Samtse 10. Tshering O. Bangladesh Police 11. Wangchuk K. Paro 15. Wangdi N. (C) Paro 8. Zangpo P. RTC
Substitutes
15. Ayoub J. Safa 2. El Hayek M. Safa 9. Fakhro M. Hallescher 12. Farhat H. Al Ahed 14. Farran Z. Jwayya SC 19. Kaddour K. Western United 1. Khalil M. (G) Al-Faisaly Amman 5. Nassar N. Al Ansar 11. Osman M. Al Ansar 23. Sabeh A. (G) Al Ahed 18. Sharafeddine H. Safa 8. Sisi Al Ansar	5. Chetrim K. Paro 1. De Gea T. (G) 13. Dorji J. Thimphu City 7. Dorji R. 3. Dorji S. RTC 22. Dorji U. 18. Kinzang Tashi T. Thimphu City 19. Namgyel J. RTC 12. Penjor K. 23. Pradhan B. 9. Tenzin K. RTC 20. Zangpo G. (G) Paro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Tshering O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Darwiche K. ↓, Fakhro M. ↑,
62', Zangpo P. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Shour W. ⚽,
65', Zangpo P. ↓, Tenzin K. ↑,
65', Tshering D. ↓, Kinzang Tashi T. ↑,
65', Wangchuk K. ↓, Dorji J. ↑,
67', Dorji J. ↓, De Gea T. ↑,
76', Tshering O. 🟨,
79', Kheir El Dine A. ↓, Sisi ↑,
79', Haidar M. ↓, Ayoub J. ↑,
84', Dorji J. S. ↓, Dorji S. ↑,
87', Merheg S. J. ↓, Farran Z. ↑,
90+2', Matar M. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 0, Ayoub J. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, Lebanon is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lebanon won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lebanon
Friendly
08.09.25	Indonesia - Lebanon	0:0 ✺
02.09.25	Kuwait - Lebanon	Canceled ✺
24.08.25	Qatar - Lebanon	0:1 ✺
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Yemen - Lebanon	0:0 ✺
Friendly
28.05.25	Oman - Lebanon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 T?WTL
- Bhutan
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Brunei - Bhutan	2:1 ✺
Friendly
04.06.25	Bangladesh - Bhutan	2:0 ✺
Asian Cup
25.03.25	Bhutan - Yemen	0:0 ✺
Friendly
08.09.24	Bhutan - Bangladesh	1:0 ✺
05.09.24	Bhutan - Bangladesh	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

SAFF Championship
25.06.23	Bhutan - Lebanon	1:4

Lebanon - Bhutan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide