Match Info

Ekstraliga Women - Round 8

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lech UAM Poznań		Pogoń Szczecin

	1	X	2
	6.00	4.80	1.36
	6.3	4.7	1.33
	5.39	4.89	1.38
	5.5	5	1.4	Watch
	5.3	4.8	1.36
	5.37	4.86	1.45
	6.4	4.9	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.75 ↓ (7)	4.85 ↓ (4.9)	1.38 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lech UAM Poznań
15.7%

Draw
18.6%

Pogoń Szczecin
65.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

12.8%

18.3%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lech UAM Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Lech UAM Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
69', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 10th and 5th).

Pogoń Szczecin has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Pogoń Szczecin holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Lech has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:4 (averaging 2:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lech against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Pogon Szczecin W	8	5	0	3	19:10	9	15
10	Lech-UAM Poznan W	8	2	1	5	11:20	-9	7

Outrights of Polish Ekstraliga Women for now

Pogon Szczecin W: 6.34% Lech-UAM Poznan W: 0.79%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lech UAM Poznań
Polish Ekstraliga Women
03.10.26	AP Gdańsk - Lech UAM Poznań	3:1 ✺
27.09.26	Śląsk Wrocław - Lech UAM Poznań	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Lech UAM Poznań - Górnik Łęczna	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Legia Warsaw - Lech UAM Poznań	4:3 ✺
01.08.26	Ślęza Wrocław - Lech UAM Poznań	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLLW
- Pogoń Szczecin Women
Polish Ekstraliga Women
04.10.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Rekord Bielsko-Biała	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	UKS SMS Łódź - Pogoń Szczecin	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	AP Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Śląsk Wrocław	5:0 ✺
16.08.26	AZS UJ Kraków - Pogoń Szczecin	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraliga Women
04.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Lech UAM Poznań	1:3
20.09.25	Lech UAM Poznań - Pogoń Szczecin	1:3

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