Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Leek Town		Guiseley

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.3	1.95
	3.25	3.4	1.95
	3.31	3.53	2
	3.36	3.34	1.99
	2.7	3.35	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.78)	3.38 ↑ (3.32)	2.03 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leek Town
28.6%

Draw
26.8%

Guiseley
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

27.4%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

27%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Guiseley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Leek Town - Guiseley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Hurst A. (Pen),
37', 2 - 0, Weir L. ⚽,
45+3', 3 - 0, Edwards L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 4 - 0, Hodkin J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 12).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Guiseley may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Guiseley will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leek won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Leek won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Guiseley - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.89%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
25.08.25	Leek Town - Warrington Town	3:1 ✺
22.08.25	Prescot Cables - Leek Town	1:1 ✺
19.08.25	Bamber Bridge - Leek Town	3:2 ✺
16.08.25	Leek Town - Morpeth Town	1:0 ✺
12.08.25	Leek Town - Rushall Olympic	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WTLWL
- Guiseley
English FA Cup
30.08.25	Warrington Rylands - Guiseley	1:4 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
25.08.25	Guiseley - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	United of Manchester - Guiseley	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Hyde United - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Guiseley - Rushall Olympic	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
22.02.25	Leek Town - Guiseley	2:2
10.12.24	Guiseley - Leek Town	1:1

Upcoming Matches