The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leganés B 46.2%
Draw 31.2%
Carabanchel 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.1%
25%
13.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.6%
24.4%
13.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leganés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leganés B's form might have worsened.
Carabanchel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carabanchel's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés B than the current prediction. (+16.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leganés B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabanchel than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carabanchel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Leganés B - Carabanchel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
82', 🟥,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés B won 2.
Leganés B is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Carabanchel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Leganés B is considered a favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Leganés B won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Leganés B won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).