Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday


	Legia II		Jagiellonia II Białystok

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.25	4.75
	1.54	4.21	4.47
	1.60	4.43	4.26	Watch
	1.53	4.57	4.57	Watch
	1.52	4.2	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.47)	4.33 ↓ (4.5)	4.57 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia II
59.1%

Draw
21%

Jagiellonia II Białystok
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Jagiellonia II Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Legia II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia II Białystok than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Legia II - Jagiellonia II Białystok Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Legia II (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Legia II (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Kiedrowicz D. ⚽,
55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, Kiedrowicz D. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia II won 5.

Legia II is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jagiellonia II has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Legia II is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Legia II won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:15. (average 2.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Legia II won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 2.3:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Legia II - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 60.48%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.08.25	Wasilków - Legia II	3:1 ✺
23.08.25	GKS Bełchatów - Legia II	0:3 ✺
16.08.25	Legia II - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Mławianka Mława - Legia II	2:2 ✺
02.08.25	Legia II - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWTW
- Jagiellonia II Białystok
Polish Division 3 - Group I
27.08.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Ząbkovia Ząbki	1:5 ✺
23.08.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Jagiellonia II Białystok	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wikielec	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Wigry Suwałki	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
21.05.25	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Legia II	0:2
27.10.24	Legia II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	1:0
01.06.24	Legia II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	5:1
11.11.23	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Legia II	1:2
17.06.23	Legia II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	5:0
19.11.22	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Legia II	2:2
14.05.22	Legia II - Jagiellonia II Białystok	4:1

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