Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 25

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Legia II		Warta Sieradz

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.15	4.85
	1.55	4.06	4.47
	1.56	4.29	4.61	Watch
	1.53	3.8	4.6
	1.58	4.24	4.66	Watch
	1.79	3.57	3.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.79)	4.02 ↑ (3.57)	4.43 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Legia II
57.1%

Draw
22.5%

Warta Sieradz
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

24.7%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

22.8%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Legia II's performance.

Warta Sieradz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Warta Sieradz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia II than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Warta Sieradz than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Legia II - Warta Sieradz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Lis M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', 1 - 1, Ryczkowski A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legia II won 2.

Legia II has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Warta Sieradz is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Warta Sieradz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Warta Sieradz has had a series of home games.

In this match, Legia II is considered a favorite.

We predict that Legia II will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Legia II won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Legia II won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Warta Sieradz	10	4	3	3	18:16	2	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Legia II Warsaw
Polish Division 3 - Group I
22.03.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Legia II	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Legia II - Wasilków	4:1 ✺
07.03.26	Legia II - GKS Bełchatów	2:0 ✺
01.03.26	Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki - Legia II	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
14.02.26	Legia II - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- Warta Sieradz
Polish Division 3 - Group I
29.03.26	Warta Sieradz - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	3:1 ✺
25.03.26	Warta Sieradz - Olimpia Elbląg	4:1 ✺
20.03.26	Warta Sieradz - Widzew Łódź II	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki - Warta Sieradz	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Warta Sieradz - Ząbkovia Ząbki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
13.09.25	Warta Sieradz - Legia II	3:2
12.03.25	Warta Sieradz - Legia II	0:2
03.08.24	Legia II - Warta Sieradz	0:1
15.05.24	Warta Sieradz - Legia II	1:0
21.10.23	Legia II - Warta Sieradz	2:1
07.05.23	Warta Sieradz - Legia II	2:3
01.10.22	Legia II - Warta Sieradz	4:1

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