Match Info

ICELAND: League Cup - Round 4

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Leiknisvöllur (Reykjavík)


	Leiknir Reykjavík		Stjarnan

	1	X	2
	3.38	3.54	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 (3.38)	3.54 (3.54)	1.92 (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiknir Reykjavík
26.9%

Draw
25.7%

Stjarnan
47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

25%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Leiknir Reykjavík have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Stjarnan have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiknir Reykjavík than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Leiknir Reykjavík - Stjarnan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Arnaldarson B. (G) 3. Bogdanovic B. 25. Brkovic D. 20. Gunnarsson D. 5. Halldorsson D. (C) 43. Hlifarsson K. S. 4. Hryniewicki P. 14. Jonsson D. 22. Jonsson T. 10. Veseli S. 18. Zivkovic M.	12. Olafsson A. (G) 22. Atlason E. (C) 11. Birgisson A. 7. Eggertsson O. 10. Fridjonsson S. 28. Gudlaugsson B. 78. Hauksson B. 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 24. Jonsson S. 18. Nokkvason G. 32. Orvarsson O.
Substitutes
21. Benediktsson E. 17. Bilic S. 80. Gurung K. 19. Hardarson A. 55. Kjartansson A. 66. Robertsson A. 12. Veselaj M. (G)	14. Barkarson J. H. 99. Bjarnason A. 37. Brink H. O. 27. Gardarson D. 8. Gunnarsson J. 4. Thorisson T. 23. Waren B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', 🟨,
23', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
60', 0 - 1, ⚽,
63', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leiknir R won 2.

Leiknir R is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Stjarnan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stjarnan will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Leiknir R won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.2:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Leiknir R won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiknir Reykjavík
Icelandic League Cup
23.02.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:3 ✺
19.02.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - KR Reykjavík	1:6 ✺
06.02.25	Selfoss - Leiknir Reykjavík	5:5 ✺
Icelandic Reykjavik Cup
25.01.25	Vikingur Reykjavik - Leiknir Reykjavík	3:2 ✺
20.01.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - KR Reykjavík	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTLL
- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic League Cup
25.02.25	Stjarnan - Keflavík	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
16.02.25	OB Odense - Stjarnan	2:1 ✺
Icelandic League Cup
11.02.25	Selfoss - Stjarnan	0:6 ✺
08.02.25	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.25	Stjarnan - Vestri	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
11.07.22	Stjarnan - Leiknir Reykjavík	0:3
24.04.22	Leiknir Reykjavík - Stjarnan	0:3
19.07.21	Leiknir Reykjavík - Stjarnan	2:0
01.05.21	Stjarnan - Leiknir Reykjavík	0:0
Icelandic League Cup
15.03.19	Leiknir Reykjavík - Stjarnan	3:3
17.03.18	Leiknir Reykjavík - Stjarnan	0:2
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
05.08.15	Leiknir Reykjavík - Stjarnan	1:0

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