The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leiria U19 37.6%
Draw 27.6%
Alverca U19 34.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.9%
26.3%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
25.3%
35.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leiria U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Alverca U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria U19 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca U19 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Leiria U19 - Alverca U19 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 10th in the Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: ) and 9th in the Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group: )).
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Alverca U19 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Leiria U19 has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:0 (averaging 1.5:0 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Leiria U19 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.