Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 25

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday


	Lenense		Urraca

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.95	2.7
	2.54	2.77	2.79
	2.54	2.77	2.79
	2.48	2.96	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.32)	2.86 ↓ (3.1)	2.75 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lenense
36%

Draw
31.4%

Urraca
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

30.5%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Urraca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lenense than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urraca than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', ⚽,
22', ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).

Recent matches Lenense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Urraca is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lenense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Lenense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Lenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
10.03.24	Tuilla - Lenense	3:1 ✺
03.03.24	Lenense - Sporting de Gijón B	2:0 ✺
25.02.24	Condal - Lenense	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Lenense - Colunga	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Real Titánico - Lenense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWWWL
- Urraca CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
10.03.24	Urraca - Ceares	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Urraca - Tuilla	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Sporting de Gijón B - Urraca	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Urraca - Condal	4:1 ✺
11.02.24	Colunga - Urraca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
29.10.23	Urraca - Lenense	2:0
06.03.22	Urraca - Lenense	0:0
17.10.21	Lenense - Urraca	1:0
02.05.21	Lenense - Urraca	1:1

Lenense - Urraca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide