The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lens 35.3%
Draw 29.2%
Strasbourg 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
27.2%
35.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
26.7%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Lens - Strasbourg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Anderson M. (G) 29. Jezequel E. 4. Guellati S. 5. Lejeune R. (C) 24. Archier L. 26. Polito C. 6. David T. 13. Revelli M. 11. El Koumir K. 9. Jeudy S. 15. Vagre N.
1. Wahl M. (G) 12. Beche A. 18. Chaney A. (C) 5. Tchakounte A. 21. Bonet E. 27. Hannequin L. 6. Enge S. 13. Pinto F. 9. Diop M. 19. Konan I. 3. Kazadi G.
Substitutes
20. Bertrand C. 30. Joly B. (G) 3. Limage J. 35. Makowski L. 23. Millequant L. 14. Pinot L. 22. Smaali E.
7. Agnew M. 23. Aigbogun E. 10. Barrett A. 17. Bensalem C. 11. Crnogorcevic A. 20. Hoeltzel M. 77. Perez C. (G)
Coaches
M'Barek S.
Lagandre S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Konan I. ⚽, Diop M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', El Koumir K. ↓, Pinot L. ↑,
57', Konan I. ↓, Agnew M. ↑,
61', Jezequel E. 🟨,
66', Diop M. ↓, Crnogorcevic A. ↑,
66', Beche A. ↓, Barrett A. ↑,
71', Bonet E. 🟨,
76', David T. ↓, Bertrand C. ↑,
77', Hannequin L. ↓, Bensalem C. ↑,
77', Kazadi G. ↓, Hoeltzel M. ↑,
85', Polito C. ↓, Makowski L. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Lens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Strasbourg has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lens won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).