Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 21

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lerumo Lions		Casric Stars

	1	X	2
	3.45	3	2.05
	3.72	3.01	2.06
	3.58	3	2.08	Watch
	3.5	2.75	2.05
	3.61	2.93	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.4)	2.94 ↓ (3.21)	2.06 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lerumo Lions
25.3%

Draw
30.8%

Casric Stars
43.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.9%

28.5%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

28.2%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lerumo Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Casric Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lerumo Lions than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casric Stars than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Lerumo Lions - Casric Stars Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4).

Lerumo Lions is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Casric Stars is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Casric Stars may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Casric Stars could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lerumo Lions won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lerumo Lions	8	4	2	2	11:6	5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lerumo Lions
South African First Division
07.03.26	Hungry Lions - Lerumo Lions	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Lerumo Lions - Cape Town City	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Venda - Lerumo Lions	1:1 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
08.02.26	Mkhambathi - Lerumo Lions	2:1 ✺
South African First Division
31.01.26	Lerumo Lions - Milford	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLTLL
- Casric Stars FC
South African First Division
11.03.26	Casric Stars - University of Pretoria	1:2 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
07.03.26	AmaZulu - Casric Stars	1:2 ET ✺
South African First Division
27.02.26	Casric Stars - The Bees	1:0 ✺
South African Nedbank Cup
21.02.26	Orlando Pirates - Casric Stars	0:1 penalties ✺
South African First Division
14.02.26	Hungry Lions - Casric Stars	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 50.3 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

South African First Division
26.09.25	Casric Stars - Lerumo Lions	2:1

Lerumo Lions - Casric Stars