Match Info

Motsepe Foundation Championship - Round 14

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lerumo Lions		University of Pretoria

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Lerumo Lions
32.2%

Draw
31.7%

University of Pretoria
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34%

31.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

32.3%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lerumo Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

University of Pretoria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lerumo Lions than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

The ML Model estimate for University of Pretoria aligns with the current prediction.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Pretoria Uni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lerumo Lions
South African Nedbank Cup
03.12.25	Lerumo Lions - Midlands Wanderers	1:0 ✺
South African First Division
30.11.25	Upington City - Lerumo Lions	3:0 ✺
26.11.25	Cape Town City - Lerumo Lions	4:0 ✺
23.11.25	Lerumo Lions - Midlands Wanderers	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Baroka - Lerumo Lions	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLWW
- University of Pretoria FC
South African First Division
29.11.25	University of Pretoria - Cape Town City	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	University of Pretoria - The Bees	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Midlands Wanderers - University of Pretoria	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Venda - University of Pretoria	0:0 ✺
28.10.25	University of Pretoria - Leicesterford City	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTTW

Lerumo Lions - University of Pretoria