Match Info

National 2 - Group A - Round 15

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Massabielle (Les Herbiers)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	TV7


	Les Herbiers		Bordeaux

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.85	2.16	Watch
	3.7	2.63	2.1
	3.4	3.24	2.14
	4	2.75	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (2.97)	2.87 ↓ (3)	2.13 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Les Herbiers
24.9%

Draw
32%

Bordeaux
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

30.3%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

30.4%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Les Herbiers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Les Herbiers's form might have worsened.

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Les Herbiers than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Les Herbiers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Les Herbiers - Bordeaux Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Adekalom N. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Butrot S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Les Herbiers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Les Herbiers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Les Herbiers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vendée les Herbiers Football
Coupe De France
19.12.25	Les Herbiers - Angers	0:1 penalties ✺
French National 1 - Group A
12.12.25	Granville - Les Herbiers	1:2 ✺
05.12.25	Les Herbiers - Aviron Bayonnais	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	Plabennec - Les Herbiers	1:2 ✺
French National 1 - Group A
22.11.25	Montlouis - Les Herbiers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWW
- Girondins de Bordeaux
French National 1 - Group A
10.01.26	Bordeaux - Aviron Bayonnais	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Le Puy - Bordeaux	1:0 ✺
French National 1 - Group A
13.12.25	Montlouis - Bordeaux	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Bordeaux - Dinan-Léhon	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	Mazères Uzos Rontignon - Bordeaux	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group B
03.05.25	Les Herbiers - Bordeaux	2:0
01.02.25	Bordeaux - Les Herbiers	2:0
Coupe De France
01.12.24	Bordeaux - Les Herbiers	2:0

Les Herbiers - Bordeaux: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide