Match Info

Date: 21 June 2022, Tuesday

Location: Víkingsvöllur (Reykjavík)

Referee: Musial T. (Pol)


	Levadia Tallinn		Vikingur Reykjavik

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.15
	3.25	3.4	2.1
	3.1	3.3	2.25
	3.1	3.15	2.21
	3.22	3.23	2.29
	3.4	3.25	2.2
	3.08	3.38	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (1.84)	3.27 ↓ (3.68)	2.2 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levadia Tallinn
29.2%

Draw
28.5%

Vikingur Reykjavik
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.8%

25.4%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

26.7%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadia Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Levadia Tallinn's form might have worsened.

Vikingur Reykjavik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vikingur Reykjavik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (+24.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Levadia Tallinn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vikingur Reykjavik than the current prediction. (-19.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vikingur Reykjavik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.4%	17.8%	30.8%

Levadia Tallinn - Vikingur Reykjavik Predictions

Users Predictions: 107 users predict this event. Levadia will win (votes: 55 - 51.4%). Vikingur will win (votes: 33 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 17.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levadia: 41.9% – 60.9%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Neutral location - Víkingsvöllur.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Vikingur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadia Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
16.06.22	Levadia Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.06.22	Narva Trans - Levadia Tallinn	1:1 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
29.05.22	Levadia Tallinn - Flora Tallinn	1:1 ✺
24.05.22	Tallinna JK Legion - Levadia Tallinn	1:3 ✺
18.05.22	Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WTTWW
- Vikingur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
15.06.22	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:3 ✺
29.05.22	Vikingur Reykjavik - KA Akureyri	2:1 ✺
Icelandic Cup
26.05.22	Haukar - Vikingur Reykjavik	0:7 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
22.05.22	Valur - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:3 ✺
16.05.22	Vikingur Reykjavik - Breiðablik	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWL

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