The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Licata 60.1%
Draw 23.7%
San Luca 16.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.9%
27.9%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
26.8%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Licata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Licata's performance.
San Luca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Luca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Licata than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Licata that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Luca than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Luca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Licata won 3.
Recent matches Licata is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
San Luca has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Licata is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Licata won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Licata won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.