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Current Win Probability
Lida 37.6%
Draw 26.4%
BumProm Gomel 36.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
24%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
23.5%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
BumProm Gomel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lida than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BumProm Gomel than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Gremza E. (G) 8. Galushko A. 7. Gradoboev D. (C) 22. Gribovskiy R. 4. Ivanovsky V. 13. Karpovich E. 6. Katsynel M. 11. Kutsepalov D. 2. Poznyak A. 17. Puzach A. 5. Tymonyuk I.
93. Isachenko E. (G) 79. Kabyshev V. 5. Kaplunov D. 2. Kutkovich G. 7. Parmonov K. 10. Potorocha V. (C) 29. Samotoy M. 9. Sidorenko K. 30. Udodov I. 19. Vershinin G. 59. Zhevnerenko A.
Substitutes
9. Belov G. 20. Chernyak K. 14. Khodyko D. 15. Kontsevoy I. 3. Legchilin A. 1. Vasilyev A. (G) 16. Yanushko A. (G) 23. Zaytsev E. 21. Zhurnevich S.
66. Absamadov S. 17. Fastovets V. 20. Grudko I. 47. Kabyshev A. 21. Ovsyanik N. 44. Sadovskiy D. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Ivanovsky V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', Galushko A. ↓, Khodyko D. ↑,
66', Parmonov K. 🟨,
70', Kabyshev V. ↓, Grudko I. ↑,
74', Parmonov K. ↓, Fastovets V. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Grudko I. ⚽, Fastovets V. (A),
87', Grudko I. 🟨,
88', Gradoboev D. ↓, Legchilin A. ↑,
90', 0 - 2, Potorocha V. ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 11).
Lida is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
BumProm's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lida won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2.5:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Lida won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 3.5:1).