Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday


	Liefering		Kuchl

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	3.2
	1.87	3.85	3.15
	1.87	3.83	3.16
	1.91	3.6	3.3
	1.87	3.84	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.75)	3.77 ↓ (3.8)	3.23 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liefering
48.2%

Draw
23.9%

Kuchl
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

23.8%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

19.2%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liefering has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Kuchl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liefering than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liefering that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuchl than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Liefering - Kuchl Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 in the zone Regionalliga West ~ Salzburg (Relegation Group) and 10 in the zone Regionalliga West ~ Salzburg (Relegation Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Liefering won 2.

Recent matches Liefering is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kuchl is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kuchl could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Liefering is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Liefering won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 22-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Liefering won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Liefering
Austrian 2 Liga
21.10.22	Liefering - Rapid Wien II	6:1 ✺
Austrian Regionalliga West - Salzburg
16.10.22	Austria Salzburg - Liefering	4:1 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
15.10.22	Lafnitz - Liefering	0:3 ✺
Austrian Regionalliga West - Salzburg
08.10.22	Liefering - Grödig	2:0 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
08.10.22	Liefering - Floridsdorfer AC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLWWL
- SV Kuchl
Austrian Regionalliga West - Salzburg
16.10.22	Kuchl - Wals-Grünau	1:1 ✺
07.10.22	St. Johann im Pongau - Kuchl	1:0 ✺
01.10.22	UFC Hallein - Kuchl	1:1 ✺
24.09.22	Kuchl - Austria Salzburg	0:2 ✺
14.09.22	Bischofshofen - Kuchl	2:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga West - Salzburg
15.08.22	Kuchl - Liefering	0:2
20.05.22	Kuchl - Liefering	6:4
02.04.22	Liefering - Kuchl	1:1
25.09.21	Liefering - Kuchl	3:1
06.10.20	Kuchl - Liefering	4:1
14.08.20	Liefering - Kuchl	1:1
11.10.19	Kuchl - Liefering	1:5

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