Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Lija Athletic		Senglea Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.25
	2.6	3.5	2.35	Watch
	2.48	3.33	2.3
	2.56	3.4	2.38
	2.55	3.45	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.68)	3.42 ↓ (3.6)	2.32 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lija Athletic
35.2%

Draw
26.2%

Senglea Athletic
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

25.2%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

27.2%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lija Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Senglea Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Senglea Athletic than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Senglea Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).

Lija is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Senglea is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Senglea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Lija have a series of guest games.

Senglea will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lija won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lija won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
21.01.24	Żebbuġ Rangers - Lija Athletic	1:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
13.01.24	Hamrun Spartans - Lija Athletic	3:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
06.01.24	Lija Athletic - Zejtun Corinthians	4:1 ✺
17.12.23	Attard - Lija Athletic	2:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
12.12.23	Kirkop United - Lija Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWWW
- Senglea Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
20.01.24	Senglea Athletic - Melita	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Senglea Athletic - Fgura United	3:3 ✺
16.12.23	Swieqi United - Senglea Athletic	1:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
13.12.23	Senglea Athletic - Pietà Hotspurs	2:3 penalties ✺
Maltese Challenge League
10.12.23	Żebbuġ Rangers - Senglea Athletic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
17.02.21	Senglea Athletic - Lija Athletic	1:3
20.09.20	Lija Athletic - Senglea Athletic	4:0
12.01.18	Senglea Athletic - Lija Athletic	2:0
10.09.17	Lija Athletic - Senglea Athletic	2:3
Maltese Challenge League
19.03.17	Senglea Athletic - Lija Athletic	0:2

Lija Athletic - Senglea Athletic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide