Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Lijabatho		Lioli

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 (1.92)	3.2 (3.2)	3.75 (3.75)

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Current Win Probability

Lijabatho
47.3%

Draw
28.4%

Lioli
24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.4%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Lijabatho have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Lioli have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lijabatho than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lioli than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 6).

Lijabatho is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lioli has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lijabatho might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lioli	5	3	2	0	12:4	8	11
6	Lijabatho	4	2	2	0	9:0	9	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lijabatho FC
Lesotho Premier League
03.05.26	LMPS - Lijabatho	0:2 ✺
19.04.26	Lijabatho - Lesotho Correctional Services	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Lifofane - Lijabatho	1:1 ✺
08.04.26	Lijabatho - Defence Force	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Lijabatho - Liphakoe	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWTTW
- Lioli FC
Lesotho Premier League
03.05.26	Lioli - Maroala	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Defence Force - Lioli	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Matlama - Lioli	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Lioli - Linare	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Lioli - Lesotho Correctional Services	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLWT

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