Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 9

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday


	Lilla Torg		Berga

	1	X	2
	4.35	3.8	1.68
	4.17	3.75	1.65
	4.34	3.8	1.69	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.67
	4.53	3.72	1.64
	3.2	3.3	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.2)	3.63 ↑ (3.3)	1.69 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lilla Torg
21.8%

Draw
24.9%

Berga
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

26%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

24.6%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lilla Torg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Berga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Berga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lilla Torg than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berga than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Lilla Torg - Berga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 0 - 1, ⚽,
84', 1 - 1, ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 7).

In recent matches, Lilla Torg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Berga is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Berga could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	IFK Berga	24	12	4	8	52:36	16	40
9	Lilla Torg	24	6	10	8	33:41	-8	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lilla Torg FF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
13.05.26	Torn - Lilla Torg	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Lilla Torg - Växjö Norra	1:1 ✺
30.04.26	Lilla Torg - Österlen	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Linero - Lilla Torg	4:0 ✺
17.04.26	Lilla Torg - IFK Trelleborg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WTTLW
- IFK Berga
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
14.05.26	Berga - Räppe GoIF	6:0 ✺
09.05.26	Österlen - Berga	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Växjö Norra - Berga	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Berga - Oskarshamn	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Karlshamn - Berga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWTTW

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