Match Info

Seconde Ligue Women - Round 21

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Lille)


	Lille		Saint-Malo

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.3	3.4
	1.95	3.25	3.45
	1.93	3.22	3.37
	1.97	3.31	3.52	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.4
	1.9	3.38	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.51)	3.28 ↓ (3.3)	3.45 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
46.6%

Draw
27.4%

Saint-Malo
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

27.3%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

27.4%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lille's performance.

Saint-Malo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saint-Malo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lille that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Malo than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saint-Malo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Lille - Saint Malo Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lille will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Saint-Malo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
78', 🟥,
90', 🟥,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiere Ligue Women).

Lille has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Saint-Malo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lille won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Lille won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Lille W	4	1	3	0	6:5	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille Women
French Division 2 Women
03.05.26	Toulouse - Lille	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	Lille - Guingamp	4:0 ✺
05.04.26	Nice - Lille	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Lille - Auxerre	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Le Mans - Lille	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLTL
- Saint-Malo Women
French Division 2 Women
03.05.26	Saint-Malo - Rodez	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Thonon Évian - Saint-Malo	1:2 ✺
04.04.26	Saint-Malo - Reims	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Saint-Malo - Metz	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Toulouse - Saint-Malo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Division 2 Women
02.03.25	Saint-Malo - Lille	2:0
10.10.21	Lille - Saint-Malo	2:0

Lille - Saint-Malo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide