Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 22

Date: 2 October 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Lillestrøm 2		Ullern 2

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Lillestrøm 2
60.4%

Draw
18.6%

Ullern 2
21.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.1%

17.2%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.6%

12.1%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lillestrøm 2's form might have worsened.

Ullern 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lillestrøm 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ullern 2 than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

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We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Lillestrøm 2 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ullern 2 has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lillestrøm 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lillestrøm 2 is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lillestrøm 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-6.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
25.09.23	Lillestrøm 2 - Skedsmo	5:0 ✺
16.09.23	Gneist - Lillestrøm 2	3:1 ✺
09.09.23	Lillestrøm 2 - Lysekloster	0:2 ✺
04.09.23	Frigg Oslo - Lillestrøm 2	6:0 ✺
28.08.23	Skjetten - Lillestrøm 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- Ullern 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
25.09.23	Ullern 2 - Frigg Oslo	3:6 ✺
19.09.23	Fana - Ullern 2	4:2 ✺
09.09.23	Ullern 2 - Grorud 2	0:3 ✺
03.09.23	Lysekloster - Ullern 2	2:0 ✺
29.08.23	Gjelleråsen - Ullern 2	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
28.05.23	Ullern 2 - Lillestrøm 2	6:2

Lillestrøm 2 - Ullern 2