Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 8

Date: 3 June 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lillestrøm 2		Gneist

	1	X	2
	1.58	4.33	3.9
	1.62	4.75	3.2
	1.7	5.3	3.25
	1.6	3.8	4.2
	1.7	4.25	3.8
	1.57	4.5	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.37)	4.49 ↓ (5.15)	3.78 ↓ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm 2
55.8%

Draw
20.2%

Gneist
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.2%

17.9%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1%

15.2%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lillestrøm 2's form might have worsened.

Gneist has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gneist's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lillestrøm 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gneist than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gneist, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Lillestrøm 2 is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gneist has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Lillestrøm 2 is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
28.05.23	Ullern 2 - Lillestrøm 2	6:2 ✺
13.05.23	Lillestrøm 2 - Fana	3:3 ✺
02.05.23	Lillestrøm 2 - Gjelleråsen	1:0 ✺
24.04.23	Grorud 2 - Lillestrøm 2	1:3 ✺
17.04.23	Lillestrøm 2 - Frigg Oslo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LTWWW
- IL Gneist
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
29.05.23	Gneist - Os TF	1:3 ✺
13.05.23	Skedsmo - Gneist	2:0 ✺
06.05.23	Gjelleråsen - Gneist	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Gneist - Sandviken	0:4 ✺
22.04.23	Lysekloster - Gneist	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Lillestrøm 2 - Gneist

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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