Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Europa point stadium (Gibraltar)

Referee: Kos D. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, RTS 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1, SportKlub 1
World	Onefootball


	Lincoln Red Imps		Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

	1	X	2
	13	8	1.13	Watch
	16	8.75	1.14
	18.5	8.3	1.11
	12.5	7.6	1.12
				Watch
	17	8.5	1.12
	17.5	8.1	1.16
	9.9	6.2	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	14.91 ↑ (10.5)	7.92 ↑ (6.35)	1.15 ↓ (1.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln Red Imps
6.3%

Draw
11.9%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
81.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15%

76%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln Red Imps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crvena Zvezda Belgrade's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.4%	11.9%	85.7%

Lincoln Red Imps - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 - Crvena Zvezda (2.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (33 of 39 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.3% – 95.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crvena Zvezda Belgrade will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Crvena Zvezda (votes: 12 - 80%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nauzet Santana (G) 15. Munoz R. 6. Lopes B. (C) 3. Rutjens C. 21. Nano 22. Torrilla G. 18. Garcia T. 70. Villacanas V. 10. De Barr T. 20. Britto E. 9. Gomez K.	1. Matheus (G) 66. Seol Young-Woo 5. Rodrigo 13. Veljkovic M. 23. Tiknizyan N. 21. Elsnik T. 33. Krunic R. 7. Milson 10. Katai A. 4. Ivanic M. (C) 17. Bruno Duarte
Substitutes
27. Acal F. (G) 5. Ayew I. 17. Benitez S. 29. Chipolina L. 19. Clinton K. 13. Hankins J. (G) 23. Joe 11. Juanje 8. Mandi 71. Peacock J. 4. Pozo N. 2. Toscano J.	88. Adjei N. 18. Glazer O. (G) 77. Gutesa I. (G) 22. Kostov V. 25. Lekovic S. 37. Lucic V. 44. Milosavljevic V. 49. Radonjic N. 8. Sljivic J. 47. Stojkovic S.
Coaches
Bezares J.	Milojevic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Milson 🟨,
16', Krunic R. 🟨,
30', 0 - 1, Bruno Duarte ⚽, Ivanic M. (A),
41', Seol Young-Woo 🟥,
43', Gomez K. 🟨,
45', Milson ↓, Milosavljevic V. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Villacanas V. ↓, Juanje ↑,
59', Katai A. ↓, Radonjic N. ↑,
61', Britto E. 🟨,
69', Britto E. ↓, Pozo N. ↑,
78', Munoz R. ↓, Benitez S. ↑,
81', Rodrigo ↓, Lekovic S. ↑,
87', Gomez K. ↓, Mandi ↑,
88', Ivanic M. ↓, Lucic V. ↑,
88', Bruno Duarte ↓, Sljivic J. ↑,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Europa point stadium.

Crvena Zvezda is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lincoln Red Imps may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Crvena Zvezda has had a series of away games.

In this match, Crvena Zvezda is the clear favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln Red Imps FC
UEFA Champions League
15.07.25	Lincoln Red Imps - Víkingur Gøta	1:0 ✺
08.07.25	Víkingur Gøta - Lincoln Red Imps	2:3 ✺
Gibraltar National League
02.05.25	Manchester 62 - Lincoln Red Imps	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Lincoln Red Imps - Magpies	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Lincoln Red Imps - Lions Gibraltar	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 WWWWW
- FK Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
Serbian Superliga
19.07.25	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Javor Ivanjica	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.25	Puskás Academy - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:1 ✺
10.07.25	Hartberg - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	1:4 ✺
09.07.25	Blau-Weiss Linz - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	2:2 ✺
04.07.25	Amstetten - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTWTW

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