Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A2 - Round 9

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday


	Linense		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.95	2.37
	3.22	2.93	2.38
	3.07	2.97	2.35	Watch
	3	2.9	2.38
	3.07	3.04	2.34
	2.95	2.95	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.7)	2.96 ↓ (3.35)	2.37 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linense
30.2%

Draw
31%

Ferroviária
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

27.7%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

27.5%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linense than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Linense - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Vitor Barreto ⚽,
19', 1 - 1, Bidia E. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Henrique ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Linense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Linense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Linense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
08.02.25	Taubaté - Linense	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Ituano - Linense	3:0 ✺
02.02.25	Linense - Portuguesa Santista	2:0 ✺
29.01.25	São José-SP - Linense	3:0 ✺
26.01.25	Linense - Rio Claro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLWLT
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
09.02.25	Ferroviária - Santo André	2:2 ✺
05.02.25	Ferroviária - EC Primavera	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	CA Juventus - Ferroviária	4:3 ✺
29.01.25	Ferroviária - Taubaté	3:2 ✺
25.01.25	Capivariano - Ferroviária	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
17.02.24	Ferroviária - Linense	2:1

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