The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ljutomer 39%
Draw 23.1%
Šmartno 37.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
23.3%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
23.4%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ljutomer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Šmartno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ljutomer than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Šmartno than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Ljutomer - Šmartno Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th and 4th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ljutomer won 2.
In recent outings, Ljutomer has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Šmartno is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Ljutomer has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:14 (averaging 2.8:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ljutomer against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 7:2 goals (averaging 3.5:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
NK Smartno
8
5
1
2
22:14
8
16
11
Ljutomer
9
2
2
5
12:14
-2
8
Last Results with these Odds
Šmartno - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.13%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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