The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Llaneros 48.1%
Draw 25.9%
Junior Barranquilla 25.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
29.9%
26.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
29.2%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Llaneros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Llaneros - Junior Barranquilla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Montanez P. (G) 18. Castaneda A. 2. Felix J. 4. Guerrero A. 8. Gutierrez K. 16. Herrera A. 17. Herrera K. 19. Jaime L. 21. Madrid N. (C) 20. Mausa M. 10. Reyes S.
1. Reyes L. (G) 7. Baldovino M. 16. Carrasquilla D. 18. Julio D. 23. Martinez F. 5. Moreno Y. 10. Navarro L. (C) 14. Rodriguez D. 9. Ruiz J. 20. Sanchez Y. 13. Vega E.
Substitutes
25. Gonzalez L. 5. Lasso J. 3. Loboa L. 29. Pacheco M. 22. Poveda S. (G)
25. Castano L. 6. Herrera R. 21. Martinez T. 17. Mosquera Y. 12. Murillo K. (G) 4. Paez M. 11. Santos E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Reyes L. (Penalty Awarded),
18', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
33', Rodriguez D. ↓, Castano L. ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Castaneda A. ⚽, Madrid N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 2 - 0, Madrid N. ⚽, Herrera K. (A),
66', Sanchez Y. ↓, Mosquera Y. ↑,
66', Martinez F. ↓, Santos E. ↑,
78', Madrid N. ↓, Pacheco M. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Baldovino M. ⚽, Julio D. (A),
80', Castaneda A. ↓, Lasso J. ↑,
90', Ruiz J. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 11).
Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
Llaneros might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Llaneros won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Llaneros won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).