Match Info

WALES: CYMRU NORTH - ROUND 12

Date: 25 March 2024, Monday


	Llanidloes Town		Ruthin Town

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.75	1.42
	5.03	4.76	1.43
	5.03	4.76	1.43
	5.71	4.7	1.41
	4.1	4.2	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.07 ↑ (3.25)	4.63 ↑ (3.88)	1.46 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanidloes Town
17.9%

Draw
19.6%

Ruthin Town
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

22.6%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

20.7%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanidloes Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llanidloes Town's form might have worsened.

Ruthin Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ruthin Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanidloes Town than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llanidloes Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruthin Town than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ruthin Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
27', 0 - 1, Giblin J. ⚽,
41', 0 - 2, Hampson J. (Pen),
45', 1 - 2, Jones E. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 1 - 3, Martin H. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Llanidloes is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ruthin Town has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ruthin Town could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ruthin Town have a series of home games.

Ruthin Town will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Llanidloes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Llanidloes won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanidloes Town
Welsh Cymru North
20.03.24	Buckley Town - Llanidloes Town	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Airbus UK Broughton - Llanidloes Town	2:0 ✺
08.03.24	Llanidloes Town - Guilsfield	1:4 ✺
24.02.24	Llanidloes Town - Porthmadog	1:2 ✺
16.02.24	Llanidloes Town - Mold Alexandra	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ruthin Town
Welsh Cymru North
16.03.24	Flint Town United - Ruthin Town	7:0 ✺
09.03.24	Ruthin Town - Caersws	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Bangor 1876 - Ruthin Town	0:0 ✺
16.02.24	Ruthin Town - Llandudno	5:4 ✺
10.02.24	Chirk AAA - Ruthin Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
16.12.23	Ruthin Town - Llanidloes Town	6:1
24.02.23	Ruthin Town - Llanidloes Town	2:0
26.08.22	Llanidloes Town - Ruthin Town	2:1
12.03.22	Llanidloes Town - Ruthin Town	2:0
11.12.21	Ruthin Town - Llanidloes Town	2:0

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