Match Info

Superliga - Round 10

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Llapi		Drita Gjilan

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	1.92
	3.72	2.92	2.10	Watch
	3.55	3.35	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (3.53)	3.16 ↓ (3.28)	1.97 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llapi
25.3%

Draw
28.7%

Drita Gjilan
46%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.5%

27.4%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

26.6%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llapi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Drita Gjilan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llapi than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Drita Gjilan than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Llapi - Drita Gjilan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Limaj V. ⚽,
50', 0 - 2, Balaj L. ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, Aliu A. ⚽,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 9th in the Relegation and 5th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Llapi won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Llapi (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Drita has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Drita could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Drita holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Llapi has recorded 7 wins, 1 draw, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:31 (averaging 0.9:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Llapi against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 10:9 goals (averaging 1:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Drita	10	6	2	2	14:7	7	20
9	KF Llapi	11	1	2	8	10:25	-15	5

Last Results with these Odds

Drita Gjilan - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 47.12%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Llapi
Kosovo Superliga
14.10.26	Feronikeli - Llapi	0:0 ✺
09.10.26	Llapi - Ballkani	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Drenica - Llapi	4:0 ✺
14.09.26	Llapi - Malisheva	0:4 ✺
08.09.26	Vushtrria - Llapi	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLLW
- FC Drita Gjilan
Kosovo Superliga
13.10.26	Ballkani - Drita Gjilan	0:1 ✺
09.10.26	Drita Gjilan - Malisheva	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Dukagjini - Drita Gjilan	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Drita Gjilan - Gjilani	0:0 ✺
09.09.26	Feronikeli - Drita Gjilan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Kosovo Superliga
16.08.26	Drita Gjilan - Llapi	5:3
26.04.26	Drita Gjilan - Llapi	3:0
22.02.26	Llapi - Drita Gjilan	0:2
Kosovo Cup
10.02.26	Drita Gjilan - Llapi	1:2
Kosovo Superliga
02.11.25	Drita Gjilan - Llapi	1:0
01.09.25	Llapi - Drita Gjilan	1:1
04.05.25	Drita Gjilan - Llapi	1:0

Llapi - Drita Gjilan