Match Info
ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 9Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Locri |
|
Castrovillari |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.67 |
3.56 |
4.38 |
|
 |
1.68 |
3.56 |
4.39 |
|
 |
1.83 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
|
 |
1.65 |
3.66 |
4.5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.71 ↓
(1.76) |
3.55 ↑
(3.45) |
4.22 ↑
(3.7) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Locri
53% | Draw
25.5% | Castrovillari
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Locri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Castrovillari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Locri than the current prediction. (-12.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Locri that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castrovillari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats. 
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 19). In the last matches we may see a scene of defeats of two teams. Castrovillari could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. In this match Locri is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Locri won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2. Including matches at home between the teams Locri won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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