Match Info

Date: 16 February 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Loja		Vélez

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Loja
53.6%

Draw
24.7%

Vélez
21.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.2%

24%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

15.1%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Vélez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loja than the current prediction. (-20.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Loja that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vélez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loja
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
02.02.20	Loja - El Palo	4:1 ✺
26.01.20	Huétor Vega - Loja	3:0 ✺
19.01.20	Loja - Almeria B	1:1 ✺
12.01.20	Motril - Loja	2:2 ✺
04.01.20	Melilla CD - Loja	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WLTTT
- Vélez CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
02.02.20	Antequera - Vélez	2:1 ✺
19.01.20	El Ejido - Vélez	2:1 ✺
12.01.20	Vélez - CP Almería	1:2 ✺
05.01.20	Vélez - Atlético Porcuna	1:0 ✺
22.12.19	Alhaurín de la Torre - Vélez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLWW

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
29.09.19	Vélez - Loja	4:2
27.01.19	Vélez - Loja	2:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
04.03.18	Vélez - Loja	3:2

Loja - Vélez