The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Loko Vltavín 42.4%
Draw 25%
Dukla Prague B 32.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.5%
24.5%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.9%
23.7%
31.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Loko Vltavín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Dukla Prague B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Loko Vltavín than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dukla Prague B than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Loko Vltavín - Dukla Prague B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Kolar E. (G) 2. Boussou M. 20. Demmer N. 14. Gruntorad A. 10. Hruby A. 18. Maione C. (C) 13. Nedved M. 22. Rebibo J. 23. Tvaroh P. 17. Vankat T. 8. Vitarigov A.
30. Basta D. (G) 10. Babka V. 33. Barta S. 7. Breburda F. 19. Fofana S. 3. Kolsky T. (C) 11. Korbel J. 9. Kostka L. 5. Regal J. 14. Skalnik F. 8. Ungerman D.
Substitutes
7. Havrlik J. 9. Kotrba D. 19. Lehocky M. 11. Smutny M. 1. Storc P. (G) 6. Vodolan S. 4. Zulu D.
26. Bakary J. 17. Bosek J. 18. Gomez Jesus A. 39. Goncarov N. 29. Machacek S. (G) 21. Pokorny M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Babka V. ↓, Pokorny M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Fofana S. ↓, Gomez Jesus A. ↑,
57', 1 - 0, Vitarigov A. ⚽,
63', Vankat T. ↓, Smutny M. ↑,
63', Nedved M. ↓, Lehocky M. ↑,
67', 2 - 0, Smutny M. ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, Korbel J. ⚽,
74', 🟨,
74', Regal J. ↓, Bakary J. ↑,
74', Breburda F. ↓, Bosek J. ↑,
76', Maione C. ↓, Havrlik J. ↑,
76', Hruby A. ↓, Vodolan S. ↑,
79', Barta S. 🟨,
85', Gomez Jesus A. 🟨,
85', 2 - 2, Gomez Jesus A. ⚽,
86', 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loko Vltavín won 3.
Recent performances by Loko Vltavín have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Dukla Prague B is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Loko Vltavín won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Loko Vltavín won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Loko Praha
9
3
3
3
15:18
-3
12
13
Dukla Prague B
9
1
4
4
9:15
-6
7
Last Results with these Odds
Dukla Prague B - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.01%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.