Match Info

CZECH REPUBLIC: MOL Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Stadion U pruhonu (Prague)


	Loko Vltavín		Arsenal Česká Lípa

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.1	3.6
	1.75	4.2	3.75
	1.71	3.99	3.66
	1.77	4.17	3.86	Watch
	1.67	3.9	3.6
	1.72	3.98	3.76	Watch
	1.75	4.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.94)	4.08 ↑ (3.78)	3.71 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Loko Vltavín
53%

Draw
22.4%

Arsenal Česká Lípa
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

24.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

22.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Loko Vltavín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Loko Vltavín's performance.

Arsenal Česká Lípa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loko Vltavín than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Loko Vltavín that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Česká Lípa than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Česká Lípa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Loko Vltavín - Arsenal Česká Lípa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Storc P. (G) 21. Candela M. 22. Kokes A. 23. Krenciv N. 15. Matejka D. (C) 2. Rott F. 6. Slanina P. 20. Ulman F. 11. Vanek J. 7. Vesely L. 14. Weber M.	33. Kral M. (G) 9. Jeseta J. 10. Kazda M. 18. Kopriva J. 2. Krejcik P. 21. Nemsovsky A. 19. Simon M. (C) 4. Tsopa A. 8. Vit M. 24. Wesolowsky A. 26. Zizka M.
Substitutes
18. Maione C. 16. Obstler O. 30. Rodriguez P. (G) 8. Sefil S. 9. Sprinz O. 4. Starek J. 13. Tesar S.	12. Hajdo D. 28. Myska V. (G) 7. Pajkrt D. 16. Solc T. 15. Wendler J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Vanek J. ⚽,
27', Tsopa A. ↓, Solc T. ↑,
40', 2 - 0, Weber M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Krejcik P. ↓, Hajdo D. ↑,
46', Candela M. ↓, Tesar S. ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Vanek J. ⚽,
59', Rott F. 🟨,
61', Vesely L. ↓, Maione C. ↑,
65', Nemsovsky A. ↓, Pajkrt D. ↑,
68', 3 - 1, Simon M. ⚽,
71', Vanek J. ↓, Sefil S. ↑,
71', Weber M. ↓, Sprinz O. ↑,
75', Kazda M. 🟨,
79', Wesolowsky A. 🟨,
82', Wesolowsky A. ↓, Wendler J. ↑,
90+3', Rott F. ↓, Starek J. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Loko Vltavín is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arsenal Česká Lípa is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Loko Vltavín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Loko Vltavín is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Loko Vltavín
Czech CFL Group A
21.09.24	Loko Vltavín - Dynamo České Budějovice B	2:4 ✺
07.09.24	Loko Vltavín - Viktoria Plzeň B	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Sokol Hostouň - Loko Vltavín	0:1 ✺
28.08.24	Táborsko Akademie - Loko Vltavín	3:0 ✺
Czech Cup
21.08.24	Králův Dvůr - Loko Vltavín	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW
- Arsenal Česká Lípa
Czech CFL Group B
21.09.24	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Jablonec B	1:2 ✺
18.09.24	Slovan Liberec B - Arsenal Česká Lípa	4:0 ✺
07.09.24	Arsenal Česká Lípa - Sokol Živanice	3:1 ✺
01.09.24	Chlumec nad Cidlinou - Arsenal Česká Lípa	4:1 ✺
28.08.24	Mladá Boleslav B - Arsenal Česká Lípa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWLT

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