Match Info

Youth League - Round 7

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday


	Lokomotiv Moscow U19		Rodina U19

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.25	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.65)	4.25 ↑ (3.76)	5.9 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Moscow U19
63.2%

Draw
21.4%

Rodina U19
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

24.2%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

23.2%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Moscow U19's performance.

Rodina U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rodina U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow U19 than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Moscow U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina U19 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Rodina U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Sagaria D. ⚽,
38', 🟥,
45', 2 - 0, Komarov K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 2 - 1, Kriulsky A. ⚽,
60', 3 - 1, Golubev V. ⚽,
80', 🟥,
89', Sagaria D. 🟥,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 6).

Lokomotiv U19 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rodina U19 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Lokomotiv U19 is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Rodina Moscow U19	24	15	3	6	62:31	31	48
5	Lokomotiv Moscow U19	24	14	5	5	59:37	22	47

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Moscow U19
Russian Youth League
17.04.26	Chertanovo U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U19	7:0 ✺
10.04.26	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - CSKA Moscow U19	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Fakel Voronezh U19	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Dynamo Moscow U19	5:0 ✺
13.03.26	Nizhny Novgorod U19 - Lokomotiv Moscow U19	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWWW
- Rodina Moscow U19
Russian Youth League
17.04.26	Rodina U19 - Spartak Moscow U19	0:0 ✺
10.04.26	Dynamo Makhachkala U19 - Rodina U19	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Rodina U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	3:1 ✺
20.03.26	Ural U19 - Rodina U19	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Rodina U19 - Zenit Petersburg U19	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWLL

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