Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 5 - Round 22

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday


	Lokomotiv Oslo		Aalesunds 2

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.5	5.5
	1.35	4.48	6.31
	1.39	4.63	6.5
	1.38	4.65	6.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.55)	4.57 ↑ (4.5)	6.18 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Oslo
65.5%

Draw
19.8%

Aalesunds 2
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

20.2%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8%

19.1%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Oslo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Oslo's performance.

Aalesunds 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aalesunds 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Oslo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds 2 than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aalesunds 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lokomotiv Oslo - Aalesunds 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Isaksen K. ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, Bjerke U. ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Isaksen K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
75', 3 - 1, Lonebu K. ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, Ytterland T. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 3, Lonebu K. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).

Lokomotiv Oslo is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Aalesunds 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lokomotiv Oslo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lokomotiv Oslo is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lokomotiv Oslo to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Oslo
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
14.09.24	Funnefoss Vormsund - Lokomotiv Oslo	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	Lokomotiv Oslo - Skjetten	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Hødd 2 - Lokomotiv Oslo	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Lokomotiv Oslo - Ready	3:1 ✺
17.08.24	Skedsmo - Lokomotiv Oslo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWL
- Aalesunds FK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
17.09.24	Aalesunds 2 - Træff	0:2 ✺
09.09.24	Aalesunds 2 - Hødd 2	3:1 ✺
03.09.24	Funnefoss Vormsund - Aalesunds 2	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Aalesunds 2 - Skjetten	3:4 ✺
18.08.24	Ready - Aalesunds 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LWTLW

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