Match Info

Super League - Round 1

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Lokomotiv Stadium (Tashkent)

Referee: Kasimov N. (Uzb)


	Lokomotiv Tashkent		Surkhon Termez

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.92	2.52
	2.98	3.05	2.6
	2.66	2.92	2.71	Watch
	2.8	2.75	2.45
	2.89	2.9	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.3)	2.91 ↓ (3.19)	2.58 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Tashkent
32.9%

Draw
31.6%

Surkhon Termez
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.8%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Tashkent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Tashkent's form might have worsened.

Surkhon Termez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Lokomotiv Tashkent - Surkhon Termez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kozlov A. (G) 26. Yuldashev A. 33. Zoteev O. 18. Kucherenko O. 15. Susnjar A. 7. Abraev K. 17. Mirzaev S. 9. Nurulloev S. 14. Ivanov N. 70. Reimov M. 11. Abdukholikov T.	1. Potapov A. (G) 4. Nematkhonov N. 2. Karimov B. 3. Dzhumatov B. 66. Shaydulov B. 8. Sherbutaev K. 21. Dzebniauri T. 17. Abdukhamidov S. 10. Abdullazhonov S. 11. Friday R. 9. Chinedu S.
Substitutes
28. Baratov I. 61. Ibraimov N. 5. Ismoilov A. 71. Mirzaev L. 45. Nisic J. 12. Shevchenko N. (G) 10. Shodiboev S. 8. Tupliev B. 99. Zoirov M.	14. Ashuboyev T. 25. Boymurodov O. (G) 22. Juraev J. 5. Khodzhaniyazov D. 19. Kodirov F. 27. Musaxonov M. 6. Shamsiev B. 26. Shukurullaev B. 7. Tursunov D.
Coaches
Jelicic M.	Kudryashov S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Sherbutaev K. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Reimov M. ⚽,
36', Shaydulov B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Susnjar A. 🟨,
55', Nematkhonov N. 🟨,
67', 2 - 0, Abraev K. ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, Chinedu S. ⚽,
80', 3 - 1, Mirzaev S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Tashkent won 2.

Surkhon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Tashkent won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Tashkent won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:3. (average 2.4:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Lok. Tashkent	22	10	5	7	36:28	8	35
12	Termez Surkhon	22	7	5	10	19:28	-9	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Tashkent
Club Friendly
16.02.26	KAMAZ - Lokomotiv Tashkent	1:0 ✺
Uzbek Pro Liga
05.11.25	Olimpik-Mobiuz - Lokomotiv Tashkent	1:1 ✺
27.10.25	Jayxun - Lokomotiv Tashkent	2:5 ✺
18.10.25	Lokomotiv Tashkent - FarDU	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Orol Nukus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTWTW
- Surkhon Termez
Club Friendly
17.02.26	Rotor - Surkhon Termez	0:1 ✺
09.02.26	Sochi - Surkhon Termez	Canceled ✺
09.02.26	Surkhon Termez - Shinnik	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Leningradets - Surkhon Termez	0:2 ✺
29.01.26	Surkhon Termez - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 W?LWW

Latest Head to Head

Uzbek League
25.10.24	Surkhon Termez - Lokomotiv Tashkent	2:1
27.05.24	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Surkhon Termez	1:1
17.09.22	Surkhon Termez - Lokomotiv Tashkent	2:1
01.05.22	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Surkhon Termez	2:0
16.09.21	Lokomotiv Tashkent - Surkhon Termez	2:0
09.04.21	Surkhon Termez - Lokomotiv Tashkent	0:1
28.10.20	Surkhon Termez - Lokomotiv Tashkent	1:1

Lokomotiv Tashkent - Surkhon Termez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide