Match Info

Druha Liga - Round 7

Date: 7 September 2025, Sunday


	Lokomotyv Kyiv		Penuel

	1	X	2
	1.17	7.33	9.52	Watch
	1.46	4.35	5.38
	1.48	4.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.44)	5.34 ↑ (4.2)	6.47 ↑ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotyv Kyiv
68.1%

Draw
17.5%

Penuel
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

21.6%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.3%

20.5%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotyv Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotyv Kyiv's performance.

Penuel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotyv Kyiv than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penuel than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Lokomotyv Kyiv - Penuel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Mordas B. ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, Mochevinskiy I. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
76', 3 - 0, ⚽,
82', 4 - 0, Monastic V. ⚽,
90+2', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 10).

Recent performances by Lokomotyv have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Penuel's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Penuel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Penuel has had a series of home games.

In this match, Lokomotyv is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotyv Kyiv
Ukrainian Druha Liga
03.09.25	Hirnyk-Sport - Lokomotyv Kyiv	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Rebel Kyiv	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.25	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Kolos Kovalivka	3:2 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Druha Liga
16.08.25	Trostianets - Lokomotyv Kyiv	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.6 WLWLT
- Penuel Kryvyi Rih
Ukrainian Druha Liga
03.09.25	Penuel - Oleksandriya 2	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Penuel - Chornomorets Odesa 2	2:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
24.08.25	Penuel - Karpaty Lviv	0:8 ✺
Ukrainian Druha Liga
20.08.25	Penuel - Chaika Petropavlivska Borshchahivka	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Hirnyk-Sport - Penuel	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTLLL

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