Match Info

Ukrainian Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday


	Lokomotyv Kyiv		Probiy Horodenka

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.20	3.70
	1.92	3.4	3.55
	1.88	3.21	3.7
	1.66	3.43	5.07	Watch
	1.89	3.15	3.6
	1.89	3.25	3.78	Watch
	1.88	3.35	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.5)	3.28 ↓ (3.75)	3.83 ↓ (6.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotyv Kyiv
48.8%

Draw
27.6%

Probiy Horodenka
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

24.4%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotyv Kyiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotyv Kyiv's form might have worsened.

Probiy Horodenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Probiy Horodenka's recent form is better than expected.

Lokomotyv Kyiv - Probiy Horodenka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +2 - Probiy (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +2 - Lokomotyv (1.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotyv (votes: 1 - 50%). Probiy (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Lepskyi O. ⚽,
44', Savchuk O. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 2, Guk I. ⚽,
53', 1 - 2, Sakhnenko O. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Lokomotyv has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In this match, Lokomotyv is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotyv Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
14.08.26	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Lokomotyv Kyiv	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Viktoriya Sumy	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Lokomotyv Kyiv	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Chernihiv	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
07.07.26	Obolon - Lokomotyv Kyiv	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 TLTTT
- Probiy Horodenka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
14.08.26	Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk - Probiy Horodenka	3:0 ✺
09.08.26	Probiy Horodenka - Chernihiv	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Probiy Horodenka	3:1 ✺
26.07.26	Probiy Horodenka - Inhulets	2:2 ✺
01.06.26	Probiy Horodenka - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLTL

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