Match Info

Challenger Pro League - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Soevereinstadion (Lommel)

Referee: Van De Velde D. (Bel)


	Lommel		ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.82	3.4	3.6
	1.8	3.6	4.05
	1.83	3.85	4.26
	1.76	3.67	4.38	Watch
	1.91	3.25	3.7
	1.81	3.6	3.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.97)	3.57 ↑ (3.4)	4.04 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lommel
51.1%

Draw
26%

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27.2%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lommel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lommel than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Lommel - ROC de Charleroi Marchienne Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lommel will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lommel (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Lommel (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lommel (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Pieklak M. (G) 13. Banguera Riascos J. A. 5. Wouters D. 34. Oware H. 79. De Grand S. 98. Salah M. 15. Schoofs L. (C) 8. Rommens N. 11. Santos A. 9. van Duiven J. 10. Reyners T.	1. Vitasek D. (C) 28. Spago E. 4. Jahic H. 6. Kis K. 77. Ferrara L. 11. Florica L. 10. Ion R. 18. Berberi R. 13. Medfai M. 17. Cachbach M. 7. Cisse M.
Substitutes
27. Lalic L. 17. Montano J. 64. Ohaka D. 6. Pelupessy J. 73. Reumers A. 30. Seuntjens R. 77. Tewelde F. 14. Tolinsson J. 31. Vercauteren R. (G)	. Capodivento 55. Corneillie V. 38. Diallo T. 9. Eyongo R. 49. Kima Beyissa K. . Kopic V. 3. Ndedi Kegne K. J. 5. Thea A. 40. Van Hecke M. (G)
Coaches
Johnson L.	Janackovic D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Schoofs L. ⚽, van Duiven J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Spago E. 🟨,
59', Santos A. ↓, Tewelde F. ↑,
60', Florica L. 🟨,
62', Medfai M. ↓, Kima Beyissa K. ↑,
71', Reyners T. ↓, Pelupessy J. ↑,
71', van Duiven J. ↓, Seuntjens R. ↑,
71', Berberi R. ↓, Diallo T. ↑,
76', Florica L. ↓, Eyongo R. ↑,
80', 2 - 0, Salah M. ⚽,
82', Salah M. ↓, Montano J. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Schoofs L. (Pen),
88', Spago E. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Lommel have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

ROCCM has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lommel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lommel is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lommel SK
Belgian Challenger Pro League
09.08.25	RWDM Brussels - Lommel	3:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Lommel - FC Eindhoven	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Lommel - Volos	3:3 ✺
12.07.25	VVV-Venlo - Lommel	1:1 ✺
08.07.25	Raków Częstochowa - Lommel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWTTL
- ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne
Belgian Challenger Pro League
08.08.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Gent U23	1:4 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Roda - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	3:3 ✺
24.07.25	Union Rochefortoise - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	1:1 ✺
21.07.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Olympique Marseille	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	De Graafschap - ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.9 LTTTL

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