Match Info

Date: 27 April 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Lornano Badesse		Montespaccato

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Lornano Badesse
47%

Draw
28.1%

Montespaccato
24.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.9%

28.4%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

28.3%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lornano Badesse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Montespaccato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lornano Badesse than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montespaccato than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 and 11).

Recent matches Lornano Badesse is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montespaccato is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Montespaccato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lornano Badesse will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lornano Badesse won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Lornano Badesse
Italian Serie D - Group E
23.04.22	Follonica Gavorrano - Lornano Badesse	1:0 ✺
14.04.22	Lornano Badesse - Trestina	3:1 ✺
10.04.22	Rieti - Lornano Badesse	2:0 ✺
03.04.22	Lornano Badesse - Cascina Valdera	0:0 ✺
30.03.22	UniPomezia - Lornano Badesse	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLTT
- Montespaccato Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group E
24.04.22	Montespaccato - UniPomezia	2:0 ✺
14.04.22	Cannara - Montespaccato	2:0 ✺
10.04.22	Montespaccato - Flaminia Civita Castellana	0:2 ✺
03.04.22	Pianese - Montespaccato	3:0 ✺
30.03.22	Montespaccato - Scandicci	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLLT

Italian Serie D - Group E
12.12.21	Montespaccato - Lornano Badesse	2:1
07.04.21	Montespaccato - Lornano Badesse	3:1

Lornano Badesse - Montespaccato