Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Algarve (Faro/Loulé)


	Louletano		Alverca B

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.4	9
	1.31	4.82	8.76	Watch
	1.43	3.8	7.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.46)	4.34 ↑ (3.66)	8.38 ↑ (6.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Louletano
68%

Draw
21.1%

Alverca B
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

24.6%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

23.8%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Louletano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Louletano's performance.

Alverca B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Louletano than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alverca B than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Louletano - Alverca B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
43', 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
59', 1 - 1, ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, ⚽,
89', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 5).

Louletano is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Alverca B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Louletano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Louletano is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Louletano will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Louletano DC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
27.09.25	Elvas - Louletano	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Louletano - Operário	5:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
14.09.25	Louletano - Juventude de Évora	3:0 ✺
07.09.25	Lagoa - Louletano	1:3 ✺
17.08.25	Sintrense - Louletano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWWWT
- Alverca B
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
28.09.25	Alverca B - Sintrense	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Portimonense B - Alverca B	1:3 ✺
24.08.25	Alverca B - Atlético da Malveira	0:2 ✺
17.08.25	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Alverca B	2:2 ✺
10.08.25	Alverca B - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLTW

Louletano - Alverca B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide