Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 34

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Gradski stadion Lovech (Loveč)


	Lovech		Dunav Ruse

	1	X	2
	6.2	3.3	1.57
	6.02	2.63	1.78
	6.08	2.84	1.75	Watch
	5.73	3.13	1.74	Watch
	6.2	3.3	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.05 ↑ (4.19)	3.04 ↓ (3.1)	1.68 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lovech
15.2%

Draw
30.2%

Dunav Ruse
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.7%

29.3%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

30%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lovech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lovech's form might have worsened.

Dunav Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dunav Ruse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lovech than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lovech, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunav Ruse than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lovech - Dunav Ruse Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Dunav Ruse (2.29) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunav Ruse (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Vasilev L. (G) 11. Atanasov G. 17. Bucci K. 9. Dimitrov G. 24. Dimitrov T. 2. Dishkov I. 8. Ignatov E. 16. Ivanov I. (C) 18. Marinov T. 6. Stefkov B. 5. Yankov N.	1. Nikolov D. (G) 14. Apostolov R. 8. Bemanga K. 10. Boychev K. 15. Gospodinov K. 26. Hadzhiev K. (C) 45. Hasan D. 11. Minchev D. 22. Predev S. 78. Sou E. 88. Todorov D.
Substitutes
21. Arif D. 10. Banev M. 33. Belmustakov K. 70. Gouano G. 99. Hilarion T. (G) 7. Kasov Y. 4. Lozanov Y. 71. Martinez M. 19. Nankov V.	9. Dimitrov G. 20. Dimitrov Y. 99. N'Sonde J. 30. Pehlivanov Z. 77. Simeonov A. 19. Stefanov S. 90. Tasev S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', 🟨,
65', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lovech won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Dunav Ruse is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lovech won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lovech won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Dunav Ruse - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.06%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lovech
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
29.04.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Lovech	3:0 ✺
18.04.25	Lovech - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Lovech	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Lovech - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Botev Plovdiv II - Lovech	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWLWT
- FC Dunav Ruse
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
26.04.25	Dunav Ruse - Pirin Blagoevgrad	0:1 ✺
18.04.25	Dunav Ruse - CSKA 1948 Sofia II	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Dunav Ruse	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Dunav Ruse - Marek Dupnitsa	0:0 ✺
03.04.25	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Dunav Ruse	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
03.11.24	Dunav Ruse - Lovech	1:0
24.05.24	Dunav Ruse - Lovech	2:0
12.11.23	Lovech - Dunav Ruse	1:0
11.02.23	Dunav Ruse - Lovech	1:1
16.07.22	Lovech - Dunav Ruse	1:3
Club Friendly
28.06.19	Lovech - Dunav Ruse	4:1
Bulgarian Cup
27.10.15	Lovech - Dunav Ruse	4:2

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