The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Luarca 18%
Draw 25.6%
LEntregu 56.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.3%
25.4%
56.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.6%
24.4%
58.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
LEntregu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luarca than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for LEntregu than the current prediction. (+2%)
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Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: )).
Luarca has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches LEntregu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Luarca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently LEntregu have a series of home games.
In this match LEntregu is a favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Luarca won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.
Including matches at home between the teams Luarca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.