Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Luawa		Freetown City

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.01	2.98	Watch
	2.34	2.96	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.36)	2.99 ↑ (2.97)	2.98 (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luawa
38.9%

Draw
30.5%

Freetown City
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

30.7%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

30.1%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Freetown City have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luawa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freetown City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Luawa - Freetown City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Freetown City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Luawa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Luawa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Luawa ✔	33	8	9	16	22:41	-19	33
18	Freetown City ✔	33	6	10	17	30:47	-17	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luawa FC
Sierra Leone Premier League
05.03.26	Luawa - Ports Authority	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Luawa - Wilberforce Strikers	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Star Sport Academy - Luawa	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Luawa - Old Edwardians	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Bo Rangers - Luawa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTTLL
- Freetown City FC
Sierra Leone Premier League
07.03.26	Freetown City - East End Lions	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Freetown City - Bullom Stars	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Wilberforce Strikers - Freetown City	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Freetown City - Kamboi Eagles	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	Star Sport Academy - Freetown City	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Sierra Leone Premier League
15.11.25	Freetown City - Luawa	1:1
21.05.24	Luawa - Freetown City	2:0

Luawa - Freetown City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide