Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Nordost - Round 32

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday


	Luckenwalde		Hansa Rostock II

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	2.75
	2.1	3.75	3
	2.1	4.04	2.94
	2.03	3.81	3.07
	2.11	3.55	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.86)	3.75 ↑ (3.7)	2.93 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luckenwalde
44.1%

Draw
24.5%

Hansa Rostock II
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

25%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.1%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luckenwalde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luckenwalde's form might have worsened.

Hansa Rostock II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hansa Rostock II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luckenwalde than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luckenwalde, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hansa Rostock II than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hansa Rostock II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Luckenwalde - Hansa Rostock II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Kaizer E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Albrecht J. ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, Kohn M. (Own goal),
79', 2 - 2, Dietze B. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17).

Luckenwalde is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hansa Rostock II is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Luckenwalde will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Luckenwalde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Luckenwalde won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV 63 Luckenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
27.04.24	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Luckenwalde	5:2 ✺
19.04.24	Luckenwalde - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	1:2 ✺
14.04.24	Hertha Berlin II - Luckenwalde	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Luckenwalde - Chemnitzer	1:2 ✺
28.03.24	Luckenwalde - Berliner FC Dynamo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLW
- Hansa Rostock II
German Regionalliga Nordost
26.04.24	Hansa Rostock II - Berliner FC Dynamo	3:2 ✺
19.04.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Hansa Rostock II	1:1 ✺
14.04.24	Hansa Rostock II - Babelsberg	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Greifswald - Hansa Rostock II	1:3 ✺
30.03.24	Hansa Rostock II - Carl Zeiss Jena	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 40.7 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
14.10.23	Hansa Rostock II - Luckenwalde	1:0
German Oberliga NOFV-Nord
22.03.15	Luckenwalde - Hansa Rostock II	2:0

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