Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 8

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Luckenwalde		Hertha Zehlendorf

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.8	3.85
	1.7	3.8	4.04
	1.65	3.84	4.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.65)	3.81 ↓ (3.84)	4.07 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luckenwalde
53.7%

Draw
23.9%

Hertha Zehlendorf
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

23.7%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

20.5%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luckenwalde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Hertha Zehlendorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luckenwalde than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luckenwalde that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Zehlendorf than the current prediction. (+2%)

Luckenwalde - Hertha Zehlendorf Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Maciejewski T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luckenwalde won 1.

Recent performances by Luckenwalde have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zehlendorf has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Luckenwalde is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Luckenwalde won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Luckenwalde won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FSV 63 Luckenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
13.09.25	Lokomotive Leipzig - Luckenwalde	4:0 ✺
29.08.25	Luckenwalde - Altglienicke	1:3 ✺
26.08.25	Hallescher - Luckenwalde	3:1 ✺
22.08.25	Luckenwalde - Preussen	3:0 ✺
09.08.25	Magdeburg II - Luckenwalde	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLLWW
- Hertha Zehlendorf
German Regionalliga Nordost
13.09.25	Meuselwitz - Hertha Zehlendorf	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Hertha Zehlendorf - Hertha Berlin II	2:2 ✺
26.08.25	Carl Zeiss Jena - Hertha Zehlendorf	4:0 ✺
22.08.25	Hertha Zehlendorf - Lokomotive Leipzig	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Hallescher - Hertha Zehlendorf	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
01.03.25	Hertha Zehlendorf - Luckenwalde	4:1
10.09.24	Luckenwalde - Hertha Zehlendorf	0:3
Club Friendly
06.07.21	Luckenwalde - Hertha Zehlendorf	0:1
24.07.20	Luckenwalde - Hertha Zehlendorf	3:1
23.07.19	Hertha Zehlendorf - Luckenwalde	3:3
German Oberliga NOFV-Nord
07.06.15	Hertha Zehlendorf - Luckenwalde	1:1
29.11.14	Luckenwalde - Hertha Zehlendorf	1:1

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