Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga NOFV- Sud - Round 22

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Ludwigsfelde		Freital

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.3	2.7
	2.42	3.3	2.76
	2.42	3.3	2.76
	2.36	3.28	2.64
	2.35	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.47)	3.3 ↑ (3.28)	2.71 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludwigsfelde
38.5%

Draw
27.8%

Freital
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

27.9%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

27.3%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludwigsfelde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Freital has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludwigsfelde than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freital than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Franke R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 1 - 1, Mellem J. ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 9).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Freital could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ludwigsfelde won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ludwigsfelde won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludwigsfelder FC
German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
23.03.24	Motor Marienberg - Ludwigsfelde	0:3 ✺
16.03.24	Bischofswerdaer - Ludwigsfelde	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Ludwigsfelde - Union Sandersdorf	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Auerbach - Ludwigsfelde	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Ludwigsfelde - Halle	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTLW
- SC Freital
German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
16.03.24	Freital - Plauen	0:4 ✺
10.03.24	Einheit Wernigerode - Freital	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Freital - Grimma	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Germania Halberstadt - Freital	1:1 ✺
17.02.24	Arnstadt - Freital	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
23.09.23	Freital - Ludwigsfelde	2:3
06.05.23	Ludwigsfelde - Freital	0:0
12.11.22	Freital - Ludwigsfelde	0:1

Ludwigsfelde - Freital: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide