Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Lugo B		Estradense

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.98	2.82
	2.72	2.59	3.05	Watch
	2.45	2.93	2.78
	2.44	2.98	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.27)	2.87 ↓ (3.1)	2.87 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lugo B
36.5%

Draw
31.8%

Estradense
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

29.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lugo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Estradense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo B than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Lugo B - Estradense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, ⚽,
72', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Lugo B has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Estradense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Lugo B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
05.10.25	Somozas - Lugo B	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Lugo B - Montañeros	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Arosa - Lugo B	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Lugo B - Atlético Arteixo	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Noia - Lugo B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWTWT
- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
05.10.25	Estradense - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Silva SD - Estradense	0:1 ✺
21.09.25	Estradense - Céltiga	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Bergantiños - Estradense	2:1 ET ✺
10.09.25	Estradense - Covadonga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWWLW

Lugo B - Estradense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide