Match Info

Division 2 - Norrland - Round 12

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday


	Luleå		Storfors

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.00	8.25
	1.30	4.80	6.25
	1.22	5.98	9.83	Watch
	1.22	5.00	10.00
	1.22	6.24	9.88
	1.33	4.8	6.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.3)	5.47 ↑ (4.7)	8.49 ↑ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luleå
72.7%

Draw
16.6%

Storfors
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

18.6%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.3%

17.6%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luleå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luleå's performance.

Storfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luleå than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Storfors than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Luleå - Storfors Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, Wimbabazi K. ⚽,

Preview

Luleå is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Storfors has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Storfors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Storfors has had a series of home games.

In this match, Luleå is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luleå won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 2.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Luleå won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	IFK Lulea	12	8	0	4	20:16	4	49

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Luleå
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
30.05.26	Luleå - IFK Umeå	6:1 ✺
23.05.26	Täfteå - Luleå	4:1 ✺
16.05.26	Skellefteå FF - Luleå	2:3 ✺
10.05.26	Luleå - Boden	1:1 ✺
06.05.26	Storfors - Luleå	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWTW
- Storfors AIK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
07.06.26	Storfors - Boden	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Storfors - Skellefteå FF	1:3 ✺
23.05.26	Storfors - Umeå Akademi	3:3 ✺
17.05.26	Storfors - IFK Umeå	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	Täfteå - Storfors	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
06.05.26	Storfors - Luleå	1:5
11.08.23	Storfors - Luleå	0:4
17.04.23	Luleå - Storfors	1:1
23.06.22	Luleå - Storfors	1:2
09.04.22	Storfors - Luleå	1:2

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