Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 21

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Klostergardens Idrottsplats (Lund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Lunds		Rosengård 1917

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.20	3.50	2.65
	2.23	3.45	2.70
	2.20	3.95	2.78
	2.28	3.68	2.78	Watch
	2.17	3.75	2.75
	2.23	3.82	2.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.48)	3.69 ↑ (3.3)	2.74 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lunds
41.5%

Draw
24.9%

Rosengård 1917
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.2%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27.3%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lunds's performance.

Rosengård 1917 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lunds than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lunds that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosengård 1917 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Lunds - Rosengård 1917 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alexandersson A. (C) 15. Bath Saganger G. 99. Bojang M. 8. Getachew J. 14. Jacobsson J. 10. Lindman E. 3. Nicklasson L. 7. Nilsson A. 12. Strid J. 2. Velickovic B. 20. Wihlborg Costa A.	1. Mayland A. (G) 18. Andersson M. 42. Ankamafio G. 23. Hakansson O. 3. Larsson K. 2. Lindberg W. 10. Malaj A. (C) 28. Pasalic K. 25. Petersen F. 26. Salifu Z. 11. Soderberg N.
Substitutes
4. Elwan H. 23. Fordham T. (G) 21. Kolle D. T. 17. Lindfors S. 11. Mehmedagic A. 25. Mehmeti A. 26. Orajarvi I. 19. Tork-Jokar G.	19. Backaliden G. 12. Bonde R. 14. Carlius L. 20. Dumbuya A. 13. Igbonekwu E. 6. Ritari M. 44. Vaporakis A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Bath Saganger G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Salifu Z. ↓, Carlius L. ↑,
46', Malaj A. ↓, Igbonekwu E. ↑,
71', Larsson K. 🟨,
71', Wihlborg Costa A. ↓, Mehmedagic A. ↑,
71', Pasalic K. ↓, Bonde R. ↑,
79', Strid J. ↓, Orajarvi I. ↑,
79', Velickovic B. ↓, Elwan H. ↑,
85', Getachew J. ↓, Mehmeti A. ↑,
87', Petersen F. ↓, Ritari M. ↑,
87', Hakansson O. ↓, Backaliden G. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Mehmedagic A. ⚽, Nilsson A. (A),
90+1', Carlius L. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lunds won 3.

Recent performances by Lunds have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rosengård is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Lunds won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Lunds won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Lunds	25	11	8	6	46:29	17	41
7	Rosengard	25	10	8	7	41:37	4	38

Last Results with these Odds

Lunds - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.18%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Rosengård 1917 - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 36.63%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lunds BK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
05.09.26	Utsikten - Lunds	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Lunds - Olympic	7:1 ✺
22.08.26	AFC Malmö - Lunds	2:5 ✺
14.08.26	Lunds - Hässleholm	0:3 ✺
08.08.26	Skövde AIK - Lunds	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWLT
- FC Rosengård 1917
Swedish Division 1 Södra
04.09.26	Rosengård 1917 - Laholms	4:2 ✺
29.08.26	Rosengård 1917 - Trollhättan	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Jönköpings Södra - Rosengård 1917	0:0 ✺
16.08.26	Rosengård 1917 - Utsikten	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Eskilsminne - Rosengård 1917	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
04.04.26	Rosengård 1917 - Lunds	2:2
26.09.25	Lunds - Rosengård 1917	1:0
23.05.25	Rosengård 1917 - Lunds	0:1
27.10.24	Rosengård 1917 - Lunds	4:1
29.03.24	Lunds - Rosengård 1917	1:0
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
08.10.16	Lunds - Rosengård 1917	2:1
19.06.16	Rosengård 1917 - Lunds	1:0

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